Source: docs/experiments/EXP-3D-READOUT-REFERENCE-REANALYSIS-V1/README.md · Plain text

EXP-3D-READOUT-REFERENCE-REANALYSIS-V1

CARRIER_REFERENCE_STATUS=NO_CARRIER_ABOVE_GEOMETRY_FREE_REFERENCE。

这是对 V2-V4 已封存 DEV 预测的事后二次分析：不训练、不加载模型、不改变任何冻结状态。参考常数只由 TRAIN primary-query GT 拟合：REF_TRAIN_ABSREL_OPTIMAL=2.3736 m（AbsRel 最优常数），REF_TRAIN_MEDIAN=4.1992 m。差值为正表示 carrier 更好（AbsRel 更低 / delta1 更高）；CI 为 10000 次 scene-paired bootstrap。

Amendment 1（见 AMENDMENTS.md，在任何指标计算之前作出）：预测中位数不为正的视角（全部射线落在 bounds 之外、渲染全零的 NO_HIT 视角）在 MEDIAN_SCALED 下保持不缩放；受影响视角数=216。排除全 NO_HIT 场景 ['ai_009_001'] 的次要敏感性分析：CARRIER_REFERENCE_STATUS=NO_CARRIER_ABOVE_GEOMETRY_FREE_REFERENCE，ABOVE 计数={'RAW:depth_absrel': 0, 'RAW:depth_delta1': 0, 'OPACITY_NORMALIZED:depth_absrel': 0, 'OPACITY_NORMALIZED:depth_delta1': 0, 'MEDIAN_SCALED:depth_absrel': 0, 'MEDIAN_SCALED:depth_delta1': 0}。

RAW · depth_absrel

carrier mean vs primary reference label vs anchor
V2_C0 0.6495 -0.1425 [-0.2465, -0.0432] BELOW NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V2_C1 0.6300 -0.1231 [-0.2180, -0.0384] BELOW NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V2_C2 0.6302 -0.1232 [-0.2180, -0.0389] BELOW NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V3_C0 0.6301 -0.1231 [-0.2180, -0.0385] BELOW NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V3_C1 0.6200 -0.1131 [-0.2149, -0.0194] BELOW NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V3_C2 0.6348 -0.1278 [-0.2306, -0.0264] BELOW NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V4_C0 0.6174 -0.1104 [-0.2144, -0.0150] BELOW NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V4_C1 0.6102 -0.1032 [-0.2118, -0.0029] BELOW NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V4_C2 0.6184 -0.1114 [-0.2189, -0.0096] BELOW NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE

RAW · depth_delta1

carrier mean vs primary reference label vs anchor
V2_C0 0.0914 -0.1699 [-0.4004, +0.0405] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V2_C1 0.1136 -0.1477 [-0.3969, +0.1106] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V2_C2 0.1120 -0.1493 [-0.3965, +0.1048] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V3_C0 0.1137 -0.1476 [-0.3969, +0.1108] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V3_C1 0.1299 -0.1314 [-0.3562, +0.1273] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V3_C2 0.1028 -0.1585 [-0.3664, +0.0540] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V4_C0 0.1287 -0.1326 [-0.3491, +0.1132] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V4_C1 0.1362 -0.1252 [-0.3474, +0.1156] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V4_C2 0.1325 -0.1288 [-0.3769, +0.1367] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE

OPACITY_NORMALIZED · depth_absrel

carrier mean vs primary reference label vs anchor
V2_C0 0.6148 -0.1079 [-0.2255, +0.0077] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V2_C1 0.6101 -0.1031 [-0.2078, -0.0012] BELOW NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V2_C2 0.6097 -0.1027 [-0.2079, -0.0001] BELOW NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V3_C0 0.6103 -0.1033 [-0.2081, -0.0013] BELOW NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V3_C1 0.6169 -0.1100 [-0.2483, +0.0289] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V3_C2 0.6402 -0.1333 [-0.2912, +0.0197] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V4_C0 0.6170 -0.1100 [-0.2486, +0.0267] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V4_C1 0.6037 -0.0967 [-0.2265, +0.0302] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V4_C2 0.5922 -0.0853 [-0.2199, +0.0491] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE

OPACITY_NORMALIZED · depth_delta1

carrier mean vs primary reference label vs anchor
V2_C0 0.1027 -0.1586 [-0.3831, +0.0470] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V2_C1 0.1117 -0.1496 [-0.3861, +0.0743] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V2_C2 0.1084 -0.1529 [-0.3862, +0.0639] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V3_C0 0.1118 -0.1495 [-0.3861, +0.0746] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V3_C1 0.1320 -0.1293 [-0.2981, +0.0296] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V3_C2 0.1263 -0.1350 [-0.2911, +0.0062] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V4_C0 0.1321 -0.1292 [-0.2965, +0.0295] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V4_C1 0.1502 -0.1111 [-0.3116, +0.0854] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V4_C2 0.1697 -0.0916 [-0.3048, +0.1208] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE

MEDIAN_SCALED · depth_absrel

carrier mean vs primary reference label vs anchor
V2_C0 0.4801 -0.1165 [-0.2069, -0.0250] BELOW BELOW
V2_C1 0.4536 -0.0899 [-0.1530, -0.0039] BELOW NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V2_C2 0.4549 -0.0912 [-0.1540, -0.0051] BELOW NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V3_C0 0.4536 -0.0899 [-0.1530, -0.0039] BELOW NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V3_C1 0.5059 -0.1423 [-0.2184, -0.0436] BELOW BELOW
V3_C2 0.5227 -0.1590 [-0.2435, -0.0551] BELOW BELOW
V4_C0 0.4960 -0.1323 [-0.2076, -0.0315] BELOW BELOW
V4_C1 0.4641 -0.1005 [-0.1595, -0.0208] BELOW BELOW
V4_C2 0.5217 -0.1580 [-0.2347, -0.0691] BELOW BELOW

MEDIAN_SCALED · depth_delta1

carrier mean vs primary reference label vs anchor
V2_C0 0.3836 -0.1696 [-0.3184, -0.0269] BELOW BELOW
V2_C1 0.4253 -0.1279 [-0.2284, +0.0008] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V2_C2 0.4237 -0.1295 [-0.2315, -0.0010] BELOW NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V3_C0 0.4252 -0.1280 [-0.2285, +0.0007] NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V3_C1 0.3693 -0.1840 [-0.3291, -0.0312] BELOW BELOW
V3_C2 0.3789 -0.1743 [-0.3235, -0.0198] BELOW BELOW
V4_C0 0.3848 -0.1684 [-0.3161, -0.0028] BELOW BELOW
V4_C1 0.4044 -0.1488 [-0.2553, -0.0280] BELOW BELOW
V4_C2 0.3625 -0.1907 [-0.3018, -0.0883] BELOW BELOW

冻结主对比在不同 readout 下（仅描述）

source contrast readout metric gain 95% CI label
V2 SURFACE_GAIN RAW depth_absrel +0.0195 [-0.0248, +0.0743] NOT_ESTABLISHED
V2 SURFACE_GAIN RAW depth_delta1 +0.0223 [-0.0141, +0.0825] NOT_ESTABLISHED
V2 SURFACE_GAIN OPACITY_NORMALIZED depth_absrel +0.0047 [-0.0282, +0.0471] NOT_ESTABLISHED
V2 SURFACE_GAIN OPACITY_NORMALIZED depth_delta1 +0.0090 [-0.0069, +0.0314] NOT_ESTABLISHED
V2 SURFACE_GAIN MEDIAN_SCALED depth_absrel +0.0265 [-0.0112, +0.0881] NOT_ESTABLISHED
V2 SURFACE_GAIN MEDIAN_SCALED depth_delta1 +0.0416 [-0.0150, +0.1232] NOT_ESTABLISHED
V3 DENSITY_GAIN RAW depth_absrel +0.0101 [-0.0137, +0.0394] NOT_ESTABLISHED
V3 DENSITY_GAIN RAW depth_delta1 +0.0161 [-0.0156, +0.0574] NOT_ESTABLISHED
V3 DENSITY_GAIN OPACITY_NORMALIZED depth_absrel -0.0067 [-0.0893, +0.0685] NOT_ESTABLISHED
V3 DENSITY_GAIN OPACITY_NORMALIZED depth_delta1 +0.0203 [-0.0706, +0.1132] NOT_ESTABLISHED
V3 DENSITY_GAIN MEDIAN_SCALED depth_absrel -0.0523 [-0.0937, -0.0172] NOT_ESTABLISHED
V3 DENSITY_GAIN MEDIAN_SCALED depth_delta1 -0.0559 [-0.1128, -0.0155] NOT_ESTABLISHED
V4 SWEEP_GAIN RAW depth_absrel +0.0072 [-0.0041, +0.0169] NOT_ESTABLISHED
V4 SWEEP_GAIN RAW depth_delta1 +0.0074 [-0.0085, +0.0247] NOT_ESTABLISHED
V4 SWEEP_GAIN OPACITY_NORMALIZED depth_absrel +0.0133 [-0.0172, +0.0430] NOT_ESTABLISHED
V4 SWEEP_GAIN OPACITY_NORMALIZED depth_delta1 +0.0181 [-0.0280, +0.0744] NOT_ESTABLISHED
V4 SWEEP_GAIN MEDIAN_SCALED depth_absrel +0.0319 [-0.0019, +0.0699] NOT_ESTABLISHED
V4 SWEEP_GAIN MEDIAN_SCALED depth_delta1 +0.0196 [-0.0296, +0.0653] NOT_ESTABLISHED

Opacity normalization 的作用（正数 = 归一化后更好）

carrier AbsRel effect label delta1 effect label
V2_C0 +0.0347 NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE +0.0113 NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V2_C1 +0.0199 NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE -0.0020 NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V2_C2 +0.0205 NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE -0.0036 NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V3_C0 +0.0198 NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE -0.0019 NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V3_C1 +0.0031 NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE +0.0022 NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V3_C2 -0.0054 NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE +0.0235 NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V4_C0 +0.0004 NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE +0.0034 NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V4_C1 +0.0065 NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE +0.0141 NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE
V4_C2 +0.0261 NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE +0.0372 NOT_DISTINGUISHABLE